Showing posts with label Expect. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Expect. Show all posts

Thursday, 22 September 2011

Expect This Year’s f8 To Be Huge — The Biggest Since Facebook Platform Launched

Jason Kincaid currently works as a writer at TechCrunch. He grew up in Danville, California and later relocated to UCLA in Los Angeles, California, where he studied biology with a minor in ‘Society and Genetics’. You can reach him at jkincaidtc@gmail.com (he has other addresses too, so don’t worry if you have a different one). ? Learn More

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Last week at our TechCrunch Disrupt conference, I had the opportunity to interview Facebook’s VP of Engineering Mike Schroepfer. It was a great talk: I asked him about his favorite features on Google+ (he said something about loving competition), and there was even a brief mutual death glare.

A few minutes after the interview, I chatted backstage with Schroepfer and Facebook VP of Global Communications Elliot Schrage and asked about their impending f8 developer conference, which takes place on September 22.

Schrage’s eyes grew wide — he paused, then said that this was going to be big, and that it would go down as either the most important, or the second most important f8 yet. When I asked which of the previous three conferences might best it, he said that only the first one, back in 2007, stood a chance. Which is when they originally launched Facebook Platform, allowing third party developers to tap into the social graph for the first time.

He also made it clear that he believes this f8 will be bigger than last year’s conference, which was no slouch: it saw the launch of the Open Graph API, Instant Personalization, and the now-ubiquitous Like Button, among other things.

In other words, we should expect this year’s f8 to bring a lot more than the video and music services that have already been thoroughly covered. Frankly I don’t think either of those would fundamentally alter the Facebook experience — they’ll make some people happy, and they may help services like Rdio, Spotify, and MOG get more users, but there’s still going to be a lot of friction getting people to change the way they consume media.

Instead, I’m guessing we’ll see some much bigger changes — things that alter the way Facebook’s graph works, and that will enable a new class of applications to flourish (like, for example, those aforementioned media sharing apps). I’m still digging to find out the specifics, but I wouldn’t be surprised if these changes revolve around broader sharing. After all, so much content on Facebook is already shared with a ‘Public’ setting — Facebook just needs to start surfacing that content to more people.

Facebook’s recently-launched Subscriptions feature is a great example of this. At risk of tooting my own horn more than usual, I’ve watched my Subscriber count grow from zero to 2,500 in less than a week (that’s way faster than I’ve ever accrued followers on Twitter). I can’t take much credit for the growth though — the only thing I posted was a photo of puppies. Instead, this uptick is fueled by the way Facebook works suggestions into News Feed and various widgets. If Facebook can create similar viral growth around content shared from other apps, that would be a big deal, indeed.


Facebook is the world’s largest social network, with over 500 million users. Facebook was founded by Mark Zuckerberg in February 2004, initially as an exclusive network for Harvard students. It was a huge hit: in 2 weeks, half of the schools in the Boston area began demanding a Facebook network. Zuckerberg immediately recruited his friends Dustin Moskowitz and Chris Hughes to help build Facebook, and within four months, Facebook added 30 more college networks. The original idea for the term...

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Sunday, 18 September 2011

iPhone 5: Expect Stronger Demand Than Ever [REPORT]

Turns out the tech press isn’t alone in lusting after the phone Apple is expected to unveil within the next month. More people are likely to buy the iPhone 5 than were ready to put their money down for an iPhone 4 before that launched, according to a survey of 2,200 potential cellphone buyers.

The survey, conducted last month for ChangeWave Research, shows that 31% of customers who are currently shopping for a new phone consider it “very likely” (13%) or “somewhat likely” (18%) they will end up with an iPhone 5 in their hands. Compare that with the numbers for the iPhone 4 — 12% and 13% respectively — and what you have is a level of pent-up demand that is unprecedented in surveys like this.

Of course, that’s largely a function of the fact that we’ve had to wait so long for the iPhone 5. Its predecessor is nearly 15 months old at this stage; that’s a lifetime in cellphone years. Some 66% of current iPhone owners say they plan to upgrade to the new model, sight unseen. That includes a whole lot of iPhone 3GS users — myself included — who opted to skip a generation.

There’s also some interesting news for Sprint in the survey: Fully 54% of their subscribers say they are “significantly likely” or “somewhat more likely” to buy the iPhone 5, which reports suggest will be launched on Sprint complete with an unlimited data plan, of the kind that AT&T and Verizon no longer offer. But it may be a case of being careful what you wish for. If current iPhone usage is any indication, the amount of bandwidth those customers will suck up may be more than Sprint can profitably afford.


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